Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 9.816314 10.955281 12.205675 13.685892 15.397531 17.323148 19.665445
2025-11-23 8.043526 9.484986 11.181799 13.345787 16.059722 19.387703 23.835209
2025-11-30 7.099076 8.685255 10.642714 13.271589 16.764990 21.328314 27.877597
2025-12-07 6.237436 7.843061 9.896031 12.764358 16.751847 22.229525 30.562856
2025-12-14 5.516187 7.088951 9.157830 12.142724 16.449610 22.621466 32.491985
2025-12-21 5.048567 6.618332 8.737820 11.888395 16.596575 23.621946 35.418687
2025-12-28 5.087296 6.832045 9.264050 13.015258 18.873443 28.078443 44.551021
2026-01-04 4.871612 6.663950 9.224137 13.288153 19.859272 30.621876 50.914960
2026-01-11 4.520196 6.270401 8.817553 12.951526 19.819555 31.443924 54.304530
2026-01-18 4.376365 6.169437 8.835952 13.277062 20.895257 34.305445 62.064689
2026-01-25 4.113559 5.869996 8.525230 13.036083 20.968012 35.366975 66.417478
2026-02-01 3.892222 5.618907 8.270399 12.861684 21.131716 36.605430 71.363702
2026-02-08 3.689194 5.391298 8.048764 12.745011 21.426098 38.212740 77.662686
2026-02-15 3.465828 5.118514 7.736128 12.444736 21.349228 39.079715 82.484800
2026-02-22 3.307859 4.939914 7.564505 12.375971 21.701086 40.871340 89.972526
2026-03-01 3.090613 4.652441 7.191725 11.911030 21.222617 40.820222 92.741681
2026-03-08 2.872015 4.351577 6.778707 11.340610 20.475609 40.081384 93.524646
2026-03-15 2.728242 4.167517 6.555194 11.107059 20.394442 40.832346 98.636259
2026-03-22 2.802155 4.351430 6.980787 12.141084 23.086169 48.470260 126.168819
2026-03-29 2.746261 4.310112 7.003646 12.391201 24.115191 52.282294 143.326747
2026-04-05 2.611687 4.125675 6.757104 12.082656 23.858632 52.786971 149.614971
2026-04-12 2.571851 4.104727 6.807572 12.381038 25.025850 57.229983 171.419040
2026-04-19 2.463533 3.957221 6.614836 12.160174 24.948376 58.282145 181.020824